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North American Skull Base Society

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2025 Proffered Presentations

2025 Proffered Presentations

 

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S196: LONG-TERM OUTCOMES AND COMPLICATION PREDICTION AFTER STEREOTACTIC RADIOSURGERY FOR PREVIOUSLY UNTREATED MENINGIOMAS
Rahul Kumar, MD, PhD1; Lucas P Carlstrom, MD, PhD2; Ramin A Morshed, MD3; Paul D Brown, MD1; Christopher S Graffeo, MD4; Michael J Link, MD1; Bruce E Pollock, MD1; 1Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA; 2Southern California Kaiser Permanente Medical Group, San Diego, California, USA; 3University of San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA; 4University of Oklahoma, Oklahoma City, OK, USA

Background and Objectives: Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) has been utilized as a primary and adjuvant treatment modality for patients with meningiomas. We seek to describe the long-term outcomes for patients that underwent SRS as primary treatment for sporadic intracranial meningiomas while exploring treatment-related outcomes as a function of radiosurgical parameters, including biological effective dose (BED).

Methods: A prospectively maintained database was reviewed for all patients with sporadic meningiomas who underwent SRS (Gamma Knife) as primary treatment modality at a single center from April 1997 to February 2022. Clinicodemographic data, tumor measurements, and radiosurgical treatment parameters were abstracted. BED was calculated utilizing published monoexponential fits as a function of treatment time and marginal dose. Primary outcomes included progression-free survival and treatment-related neurological sequalae. 

Results: A total of 616 patients without prior surgery or radiotherapy underwent single-fraction SRS for treatment of 653 sporadic meningiomas at a single institution over a 25-year period. Median patient age at SRS was 59.1 years with 77.3% females. Median tumor volumes for 456 posterior fossa/skull base and 197 supratentorial lesions were 4.8 cm3 and 4.1 cm3, respectively. Median isodose line and number of isodose centers were 50% and 9, respectively. Median marginal and biological effective doses were 15.2 and 86.0 gray, respectively. With median and mean radiographic follow-up time of 6.50 and 7.43 years, median progression-free survival (PFS) estimates at 5, 10, and 15 years were 99.8%, 98.9%, and 92.9%. A total of 310 patients (50.2%) had lesions that decreased in size while 295 patients (48.0%) had lesions that remained stable. Local progression was noted in 7 patients (1.0%), marginal progression in 2 patients (0.4%, 1 patient with multiple lesions), and distant progression was observed in 2 patients (0.3%). 

Treatment-associated neurological sequalae were noted in 56 patients (9.1%), of which 6 (1.0%) were permanent and/or required intervention. Cranial neuropathies and/or neuralgias accounted for 46.4% of all sequalae. Peri-lesional cerebral edema post-SRS was noted in 75 patients (12.2%), amongst which 24 (3.9%) required steroid therapy and 2 (0.3%) underwent surgical intervention. Univariable logistic regression and receiver operating characteristics revealed marginal superiority of BED (AUC: 0.61) compared to marginal dose (AUC: 0.54) in predicting treatment-related sequalae. Multiple random forest classification models also confirmed relative importance of BED over marginal dose in predicting treatment-related neurological sequalae.

Conclusion: SRS is highly efficacious and safe as primary treatment modality for sporadic intracranial meningiomas. Minimization of treatment-related sequalae remains an important incremental milestone to further enhance patient outcomes and may be achieved by refinement of treatment planning paradigms utilizing BED.

Figure 1: Progression-free survival after single fraction SRS for primary meningioma Kaplan-Meier plot depicting patient progression-free survival after initial SRS with censored events (vertical hashes) and 95% confidence interval (shaded regions). Risk table depicts number at risk (and number of censored events) at corresponding time points.

Figure 2: Association of radiosurgical parameters with post-SRS treatment sequalae (A-H): Box plots (Tukey-style) with overlaid raw data points for various radiosurgical parameters stratified by incidence of treatment-related sequalae/complications. (I): Forest plot depicting odds ratio (dots) and 95% CI (whiskers). Dashed vertical line represents null OR 1.0. P-values calculated per logistic regression. OR = odds ratio, CI = confidence interval

Figure 3: Receiver operating characteristics curves for predicting treatment-related sequalae

Summary of base (A-C, blue), 10-fold cross-validated (D-F, orange), and SMOTE (G-I, green) random forest models for predicting treatment-related complications utilizing BED and marginal dose. Variable importance (A, D, G), confusion matricres (B, E, H), and ROC curves (C, F, I) shown for each model. Performance metrics (I) are summarized per model (colors).

 

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